US deficit to exceed $1.5 trillion in 2024 (2024)

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US deficit to exceed $1.5 trillion in 2024 (1)

Too much brrr not enough budget tightening Credit: Getty

April 9, 2024 - 6:30pm

→ US deficit to exceed $1.5 trillion in 2024

Going only another $1.5 trillion in the hole for the year, it turns out, was a bit too optimistic. The US government has hit a $1.1 trillion annual deficit just halfway through the fiscal year, per the latest CBO report.

If current spending continues — and there’s no reason to expect otherwise — the US will overshoot its projected debt for the year by almost 50%.

And yet, just over a month ago, the same CBO released their report projecting a $1.5T deficit for the entire year. At this rate, the deficit will be $2.2T, a 47% overshoot and even higher than the projected deficit in 2031. https://t.co/r882Jc6TvY pic.twitter.com/hbVpYlluY4

— James Lavish (@jameslavish) April 8, 2024

With the election a few months away, we’ll likely see a number of expensive programmes dangled to sweeten the pot for voters. Just this week, the Biden Administration pitched a student debt relief plan for 30 million Americans. The US money machine goes brrr…

→ Bernie Sanders and Labour HQ come under attack

Bernie Sanders’ office in Vermont and the Labour party headquarters in London were both been targeted in recent days amid rising tensions on the Left.

Youth Demand, a group that’s linked to Just Stop Oil, vandalised Labour HQ with red spray paint as part of a week of protests over the war in Gaza. Across the pond, a man set fire to Sanders’ offices on Friday while staff were inside, perhaps in an odious nod to the Senator’s 2016 slogan “feel the Bern” (no one was hurt). His motives have not been determined.

The progressive Left has something of an army of activists and protesters — usually focused on climate change, abortion and racial issues — but as the war in Gaza eclipses other causes as The Current Thing, the establishment Left has found itself in their crosshairs. Freud was certainly onto something when he described the narcissism of small differences…

→ The plight of the Palestinian writer

The world lost a creative spirit this week. Walid Daqqah, who was convicted of commanding the group that abducted, tortured and killed an Israeli soldier in 1984, died of cancer in an Israeli prison after 38 years behind bars. An Amnesty International representative called the death “heart-wrenching”, while the group’s post on X referred to him as a “Palestinian writer”.

The death in custody of Walid Daqqa, a 62-year-old Palestinian writer who was the longest-serving Palestinian prisoner in Israeli jails after 38 years of imprisonment, is a cruel reminder of Israel’s disregard for Palestinians’ right to life ⬇️https://t.co/hSz0gdZgVj

— Amnesty International (@amnesty) April 8, 2024

His is only the latest in a long line of wrongful deaths at the hands of the powerful, according to online observers: Gloucestershire builder Fred West, painter Adolf Hitler, and notable architect Adolf Eichmann. True artists always suffer for their work.

US deficit to exceed $1.5 trillion in 2024 (2024)

FAQs

US deficit to exceed $1.5 trillion in 2024? ›

Changes in CBO's Budget Projections

How much debt does the U.S. have in 2024? ›

U.S. publicly held debt 2013-2024

In March 2024, the public debt of the United States was around 34.59 trillion U.S. dollars, almost two trillion more than in July when it was around 32.6 trillion U.S. dollars.

What is the economic forecast for the U.S. in 2024? ›

S&P Global Ratings expects U.S. real GDP growth of 2.5% in 2024 as the labor market remains sturdy. We continue to expect the economy to transition to slightly below-potential growth in the next couple of years.

What is the projected budget deficit for fiscal year 2025? ›

Key Figures in the President's FY 2025 Budget
TrillionsPercent of GDP
Net Interest$12.2 trillion3.4%
Total Spending$86.6 trillion24.4%
Deficits$16.3 trillion4.6%
Debt (Final Year)$45.1 trillion106%
6 more rows
Mar 11, 2024

What is the CBO forecast for 2024? ›

CBO expects spending to grow rapidly over the long term and revenue to rise more gradually. Specifically, spending will rise from 23.1 percent of GDP in FY 2024 to 27.3 percent of GDP in 2054, while revenue will grow from 17.5 percent of GDP to 18.8 percent of GDP.

What is the projected deficit for 2024? ›

Changes in CBO's Budget Projections

Deficits and outlays have been adjusted to exclude the effects of shifts that occur in the timing of certain payments when the fiscal year begins on a weekend. Without those adjustments, the deficit projected for 2024 is $1.5 trillion (or 5.3 percent of GDP).

What is China's debt in 2024? ›

Driven by Chinese LRGs, we expect EM will represent half of total outstanding stock of LRG debt--US$7.8 trillion in 2024 (about 8% of today's global nominal GDP)--and could even outstrip domestic market debt in 2025. At a projected US$6.5 trillion in 2024, China alone will account for 38% of global subnational debt.

When was the last time the U.S. did not have a deficit? ›

The terms “national deficit”, “federal deficit” and “U.S. deficit” have the same meaning and are used interchangeably by the U.S. Treasury. A surplus occurs when the government collects more money than it spends. The last surplus for the federal government was in 2001.

Who does the U.S. owe money to? ›

Nearly half of all US foreign-owned debt comes from five countries.
Country/territoryUS foreign-owned debt (January 2023)
China$859,400,000,000
United Kingdom$668,300,000,000
Belgium$331,100,000,000
Luxembourg$318,200,000,000
6 more rows

Did Congress pass a budget for 2024? ›

Senator Collins was a lead negotiator of the bipartisan legislation. Washington, D.C. – Today, by a vote of 75-22, the U.S. Senate passed the six-bill Fiscal Year 2024 (FY24) appropriations package.

What is the Fed inflation forecast for 2024? ›

On the basis of these inflation forecasts, average consumer price inflation should be 3.3% in 2024 and 1.9% in 2025, compared to 4.06% in 2023 and 9.59% in 2022.

What is the economic outlook for the US in 2025? ›

We expect growth to rebound to a 2.0 percent pace by 2025Q1 and stay in that range through yearend. On a Q4-to-Q4 basis, real GDP grows by 1.8 percent during 2024 and 2.2 percent during 2025.

What is the Fed inflation forecast for 2025? ›

The FOMC forecast for inflation was largely unchanged, with 4q/4q 2024 PCE inflation of 2.4%, 4q/4q 2025 of 2.2%, and 4q/4q 2026 of 2.0%.

How much will the US debt be in 2025? ›

YearNational debt in billion U.S. dollars
2026*38,624
2025*36,775
2024*34,825
2023*32,988
8 more rows
Feb 29, 2024

Who does the US owe money to? ›

Nearly half of all US foreign-owned debt comes from five countries.
Country/territoryUS foreign-owned debt (January 2023)
China$859,400,000,000
United Kingdom$668,300,000,000
Belgium$331,100,000,000
Luxembourg$318,200,000,000
6 more rows

How high is the US debt right now? ›

The $34 trillion gross federal debt equals debt held by the public plus debt held by federal trust funds and other government accounts. In very basic terms, this can be thought of as debt that the government owes to others plus debt that it owes to itself. Learn more about different ways to measure our national debt.

How much does the US owe China? ›

US Treasurys Owned by China, in USD Billions

$797.7 billion of the total $8,023.7 billion U.S. national debt.

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